NASA, NOAA, MetOffice Climate Data Fabrication

Data Sources: see the data hyperlinks in the table below. This data was provided and altered courtesy of NASA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and the UK MetOffice. Crucially, the IPCC used these fabricated temperature indices as key evidence for anthropogenic global warming (pages 247-249)[i] and in its forecast inaccuracy analysis (pages 61-63, 87, 131, see details below) in its Fifth Assessment Report.[ii]

Figure legend: Alterations were made to the global temperature indices by NASA, NOAA, and the MetOffice which are revealed by subtracting the older version from the current annual surface temperature anomaly index version. Annual differences were averaged into pre-/post-1970 periods and divided by the older version average pre-/post-1970 temperature anomalies before converting to percentages. A positive percentage before 1970 means an increased cooling, while a positive percentage after 1970 means increased warming. A negative percentage before 1970 means a reduced cooling, while a negative percentage after 1970 means reduced warming. In most cases, the reference period means have been altered, instead of being zero. Two NASA GHCN temperature indices for Greenland were omitted from the above figure because the percentage changes exceeded 500-700% since July 2019. Graph definitions: GMST; global mean surface temperature. L&O; land and ocean. NHT; Northern Hemisphere temperature. GISTemp; GISS Surface Temperature (Goddard Institute for Space Studies). V; version.

See US Government Gagging Orders. Does the UK government have the same gagging orders for the MetOffice? What about the United Nations and IPCC – do they have gagging orders?

The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) climate change key-risk assessment was artificially restricted to theoretical anthropogenic global warming risks (pages 11 and 59[i]) by United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Article 2 (i.e., pages 7 and 9[ii]). Under this Article 2 constraint, the IPCC delayed the prospect of a new ice age by an unprecedented 50,000 years (30,000 years in AR4—page 85[iii]) and any glaciation during the next 1,000 years while assuming the last ice age ended “about 10,000 years ago” (pages 124-25, 387[iv]). These ice age boundary assumptions have major implications for our perception of 21st-century climate change risks.

With the Holocene Climate Optimum (HCO) occurring 8 and 10.5 millennia ago in Greenland and Antarctica respectively and the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, lowest glacial cycle temperature) occurring approximately 17.5 millennia ago in Greenland (average of nine sites[v]) and 18-19 millennia ago in Antarctica (Dome Fuji,[vi] Antarctic Dome-C,[vii] Vostok[viii]) it makes it impossible for the last ice to have ended “about 10,000 years ago”. Further corroborating this, by 10,000 years ago the global sea level had already risen 80% and the temperature 91% of their total Holocene interglacial rise (Bintanja et al.[ix]). Collectively, this polar ice core data and prior cited literature refute the IPCC’s ice age end assumption.

The literature confirms the Arctic HCO period occurred from 8-5 millennia ago with temperatures being 2-4°C higher than today.[x],[xi],[xii] In Antarctica, the HCO period took place from 11.5-9 millennia ago, with a secondary optimum 8-5 millennia ago.[xiii] The post-HCO temperature decline in Greenland paralleled a 40-50 Watt/m2 decline in precession modified solar insolation (60-65°N),[xiv],[xv],[xvi],[xvii],[xviii] and five millennia of “Neoglacial advances”[xix] that peaked during the 17th-19th centuries.[xx] In the Arctic, abrupt-periodic Neoglacial advances started about five millennia ago with northeast Greenland ice-locked during summer by three millennia ago,[xxi],[xxii] and similarly in Antarctica.[xxiii],[xxiv],[xxv],[xxvi],[xxvii],[xxviii],[xxix]

There are statistical implications in delaying an ice age inception by a theoretical 30,000-50,000 years, which were not addressed by the IPCC or in peer-review. The inter-climate optimum interval in Antarctica Dome-C from the 10.5Kyr HCO to the preceding climate optimum was 118.1Kyr (Jouzel et al. dataset[xxx]), and was 122.7Kyr with the global climate data from the 2.1Kyr HCO (Bintanja et al. dataset.[xxxi]). These inter-climate optimum intervals were already the largest in 800,000 and three million years respectively. By delaying the next ice age by 50,000 years the IPCC turned a non-significant outlier into an extreme outlier, thus raising major questions about its non-peer-reviewed mini-theory.

Given these ice age boundary assumptions the IPCC then specifically dismissed all 21st-century global cooling-glaciation risks, including those by climate-forcing volcanism, abrupt climate change, and the cooling impact of this grand solar minimum (i.e., secular changes in solar activity) (pages 20, 24, 70-71, 88, 393, 1007-1009, and 1115).[xxxii] This UNFCCC Article 2 constrained key-risk assessment resulted in the elimination of all potential cooling contestation to its four Representative Concentration Pathway emission-linked temperature predictions for the 21st century. This is problematic because it obscures catastrophic global cooling-glaciation risks predicted by solar activity and other experts who predict a 21st-century return to a Little Ice Age-like cold climate due to the sun having entered a grand solar minimum period of activity.[xxxiii],[xxxiv],[xxxv],[xxxvi],[xxxvii],[xxxviii]

Furthermore, it is impossible to know what happened to the Greenland, Northern Hemisphere, and global temperatures between the RPM and 2019 due to major alterations made by NASA, NOAA, and the MetOffice to the surface temperature indices(REF). These alterations largely had the effect of artificially increasing the post-1970 warming rates and the 2019 peak temperature rankings, as well as altering the RPM values. Unfortunately, this renders these widely used temperature indices unsuitable for policy-sensitive decision making.

Crucially, the IPCC used these modified temperature indices as key evidence for anthropogenic global warming (pages 247-249)[xxxix] and in its forecast inaccuracy analysis (pages 61-63, 87, 131).[xl] This inaccuracy analysis showed the IPCC-promoted computer models over-forecasted the actual global mean surface temperature (GMST) in 111 of 114 simulations (97.4%, >2 standard deviations), while 100% missed the climate hiatus (pages 61-63)[xli] during a period (1998-2012) when atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) increased 7.4%,[xlii] and the CO2 rise lagged the temperature increase by 9-12 months.[xliii] This data indicates the IPCC’s radiative forcing theory and models are unable to accurately predict the GMST and that the CO2 rise lagged the temperature rise.

Therefore, major questions are raised about the validity of the IPCC’s Article 1 and 2 constrained climate change key-risk assessment that leaves catastrophic 21st-century global cooling-glaciation risks unmitigated.

Climate Data Fabrication Links New Version Old Version
HadCRUT 4.6 (2020) minus V3 (2014) http://bit.ly/2Kdu48E http://bit.ly/2RFtXpC
HadCRUT.4.6 NHT (2020) minus V4.0 (2010) http://bit.ly/2QC1q6e https://bit.ly/2ZY4ZHl
CRUTEM4 Global Land °C (2020) minus CRUTEM1 (2002) https://bit.ly/30pceaw https://bit.ly/3mHuPZW
CRUTEM4 NHT Land °C (2020) minus CRUTEM1 (2002) https://bit.ly/3hOVzEg https://bit.ly/2HmpSFK
NOAA Global L&O V5 (07/2020) minus V4 (07/2019) https://bit.ly/35XN8US https://bit.ly/32SB31j
NOAA NHTemp (0-90N) L&O V5 (07/2020) minus V4 (07/2019) https://bit.ly/2Hdgnse https://bit.ly/32Ok7Zy
NOAA NHTemp L&O (60-90N) V5 (07/2020) minus V4 (07/2019) https://bit.ly/2ElJt7M https://bit.ly/2RMkz4j
NASA GISTemp. GHCN V4 (09/2020) minus V3 (07/2019) https://go.nasa.gov/3avIKw8 https://go.nasa.gov/2OEq2LE
NASA GISTemp. V4 (07/2020) minus V2 (2000) https://go.nasa.gov/3avIKw8 https://go.nasa.gov/2KFY3IZ
NASA GISTemp. V4 (07/2020) minus V1 (07/1997) https://go.nasa.gov/3avIKw8 https://go.nasa.gov/2KFY3IZ
NASA GHCN L&O. V4 (07/2020) minus V3 (07/2019) https://go.nasa.gov/2HeKT52 https://go.nasa.gov/3kAnvNQ
Carlton B. Brown @iceagereentry, https://grandsolarminimum.com, https://iceageearth.com

 

References:

[i]       IPCC, Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1132 pages.

[ii]      https://unfccc.int/files/essential_background/background_publications_htmlpdf/application/pdf/conveng.pdf

[iii]     IPCC, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pages.

[iv]     IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[v]      C. Buizert, B.A. Keisling, J.E. Box, F. He, A.E. Carlson, G. Sinclair, R.M. DeConto. 2018. Greenland-Wide Seasonal Temperatures During the Last Deglaciation. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1002/2017GL075601. Data: Greenland 22,000 Year Seasonal Temperature Reconstructions. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/23430.

[vi]     R.V. Uemura et al., 2012, “Ranges of moisture-source temperature estimated from Antarctic ice cores stable isotope records over glacial-interglacial cycles.” Climate of the Past, 8, 1109-1125. doi: 10.5194/cp-8-1109-2012. National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce. Dome Fuji 360KYr Stable Isotope Data and Temperature Reconstruction. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/13121. Downloaded 05/05/2018.

[vii]    J. V. Jouzel et al., 2007, “Orbital and Millennial Antarctic Climate Variability over the Past 800,000 Years.” Science, Volume 317, No. 5839, 793-797, 10 August 2007. National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce. EPICA Dome C – 800KYr Deuterium Data and Temperature Estimates. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/6080. Download data: Downloaded 08/02/2016.

[viii]   Lorius, C., J. Jouzel, C. Ritz, L. Merlivat, N.I. Barkov, Y.S. Korotkevitch, and V.M. Kotlyakov. 1985. A 150,000-year climatic record from Antarctic ice. Nature 316:591-596. Vostok – Deuterium Data and Temperature Reconstruction. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/2426.

[ix]     R. Bintanja and R.S.W. van de Wal, “North American ice-sheet dynamics and the onset of 100,000-year glacial cycles.” Nature, Volume 454, 869-872, 14 August 2008. doi:10.1038/nature07158. National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce. Global 3Ma Temperature, Sea Level, and Ice Volume Reconstructions. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/11933.

[x]     Nicolaj K. Larsen et al., “The response of the southern Greenland ice sheet to the Holocene thermal maximum.” Geology ; 43 (4): 291–294. doi: https://doi.org/10.1130/G36476.1.

[xi]     D.S. Kaufman et al., “Holocene thermal maximum in the western Arctic (0–1800W).” Quaternary Science Reviews 23 (2004) 529–560.

[xii]    J.P. Briner et al., “Holocene climate change in Arctic Canada and Greenland.” Quaternary Science Reviews (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.02.010.

[xiii]   Ó. Ingólfsson et al., 1998, “Antarctic glacial history since the Last Glacial Maximum: An overview of the record on land. “Antarctic Science, 10(3), 326-344. doi:10.1017/S095410209800039X.

[xiv]   H. Wanner et al., “Structure and origin of Holocene cold events.” Quaternary Science Reviews (2011), doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.07.010.

[xv]    D.S. Kaufman et al., “Holocene thermal maximum in the western Arctic (0–180°W).” Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 23, Issues 5–6, 2004, 529-560. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2003.09.007.

[xvi]   I. Borzenkova et al., 2015. Climate Change During the Holocene (Past 12,000 Years). In: The BACC II Author Team (eds) Second Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea Basin. Regional Climate Studies. Springer.

[xvii] G.H. Miller et al., 2012, “Abrupt onset of the Little Ice Age triggered by volcanism and sustained by sea-ice/ocean feedbacks.” Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L02708, doi:10.1029/2011GL050168.

[xviii]      Y. Zhong et al., “Centennial-scale climate change from decadally-paced explosive volcanism: a coupled sea ice-ocean mechanism.” Climate Dynamics (2011) 37: 2373. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0967-z.

[xix] Olga N. Solomina, Raymond S. Bradley, Dominic A. Hodgson, Susan Ivy-Ochs, Vincent Jomelli, Andrew N. Mackintosh, Atle Nesje, Lewis A. Owen, Heinz Wanner, Gregory C. Wiles, Nicolas E. Young, (2015). Holocene glacier fluctuations. Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 111, 2015, Pages 9-34, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.11.018.

[xx]    O.N. Solomina et al., 2016, “Glacier fluctuations during the past 2000 years.” Quaternary Science Reviews, 149, 61-90. DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.04.008.

[xxi]   Leonid Polyak et al., “History of sea ice in the Arctic.” Quaternary Science Reviews 29 (2010) 1757–1778, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.02.010.

[xxii] N. L. Balascio et al., “Glacier response to North Atlantic climate variability during the Holocene.” Climate of the Past, 11, 1587-1598, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-1587-2015, 2015.

[xxiii]      Ingólfsson, Ó, Hjort, C., Berkman, P., Björck, S., Colhoun, E., Goodwin, I., . . . Prentice, M. (1998). Antarctic glacial history since the Last Glacial Maximum: An overview of the record on land. Antarctic Science, 10(3), 326-344. doi:10.1017/S095410209800039X.

[xxiv] Andrew J. Christ, Manique Talaia-Murray, Natalie Elking, Eugene W. Domack, Amy Leventer, Caroline Lavoie, Stefanie Brachfeld, Kyu-Cheul Yoo, Robert Gilbert, Sun-Mi Jeong, Stephen Petrushak, Julia Wellner, the LARISSA Group; Late Holocene glacial advance and ice shelf growth in Barilari Bay, Graham Land, west Antarctic Peninsula. GSA Bulletin ; 127 (1-2): 297–315. doi: https://doi.org/10.1130/B31035.1

[xxv]   The RAISED Consortium1, Michael J. Bentley et al. “A community-based geological reconstruction of Antarctic Ice Sheet deglaciation since the Last Glacial Maximum.” Quaternary Science Reviews. Volume 100, 15 September 2014, 1-9.

[xxvi] M. Frezzotti1 et al., “A synthesis of the Antarctic surface mass balance during the last 800 years.” The Cryosphere, 7, 303–319, 2013. www.the-cryosphere.net/7/303/2013/doi:10.5194/tc-7-303-2013.

[xxvii]    Domack E, Leventer A, Dunbar R, Taylor F, Brachfeld S, Sjunneskog C. Chronology of the Palmer Deep site, Antarctic Peninsula: a Holocene palaeoenvironmental reference for the circum-Antarctic. The Holocene. 2001;11(1):1-9. doi:10.1191/095968301673881493.

[xxviii]    Ólafur Ingólfsson, Christian Hjort, Ole Humlum “Glacial and Climate History of the Antarctic Peninsula since the Last Glacial Maximum,” Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, 35(2), 175-186, (1 May 2003).

[xxix] F Taylor, J Whitehead, E Domack. Holocene paleoclimate change in the Antarctic Peninsula: evidence from the diatom, sedimentary and geochemical record, Marine Micropaleontology, Volume 41, Issues 1–2, 2001, Pages 25-43, ISSN 0377-8398, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0377-8398(00)00049-9.

[xxx]   J. V. Jouzel et al., 2007, “Orbital and Millennial Antarctic Climate Variability over the Past 800,000 Years.” Science, Volume 317, No. 5839, 793-797, 10 August 2007. National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce. EPICA Dome C – 800KYr Deuterium Data and Temperature Estimates. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/6080. Download data: Downloaded 08/02/2016.

[xxxi] R. Bintanja and R.S.W. van de Wal, “North American ice-sheet dynamics and the onset of 100,000-year glacial cycles.” Nature, Volume 454, 869-872, 14 August 2008. doi:10.1038/nature07158. National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce. Global 3Ma Temperature, Sea Level, and Ice Volume Reconstructions. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/11933.

[xxxii]     IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[xxxiii]    N. Scafetta, “Multi-scale harmonic model for solar and climate cyclical variation throughout the Holocene based on Jupiter-Saturn tidal frequencies plus the 11-year solar dynamo cycle.” Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics (2012). doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2012.02.016.

[xxxiv]    Theodor Landscheidt, “New Little Ice Age Instead of Global Warming? Energy & Environment. 2003.” Volume 14, Issue 2, 327–350. https://doi.org/10.1260/095830503765184646.

[xxxv]     R.J. Salvador, “A mathematical model of the sunspot cycle for the past 1000 years,” Pattern Recognition Physics, 1, 117-122, doi:10.5194/prp-1-117-2013, 2013.

[xxxvi]    Nils-Axel Mörner, “Solar Minima, Earth’s rotation and Little Ice Ages in the past and in the future. The North Atlantic–European case.” Global and Planetary Change 72 (2010) 282–293. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.01.004.

[xxxvii]   Jan-Erik Solheim, https://www.mwenb.nl/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Blog-Jan-Erik-Solheim-def.pdf. Referred from http://www.climatedialogue.org/what-will-happen-during-a-new-maunder-minimum/.

[xxxviii] Habibullo Abdussamatov, “Current Long-Term Negative Average Annual Energy Balance of the Earth Leads to the New Little Ice age.” Thermal Science. 2015 Supplement, Volume 19, S279-S288.

[xxxix]    IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pp.

[xl]     IPCC, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[xli]    IPCC, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[xlii]   Dr. Pieter Tans, NOAA/GML (www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/) and Dr. Ralph Keeling, Scripps Institution of Oceanography (scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/). ftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt

[xliii] Ole Humlum et al., “The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature.” Global and Planetary Change. Volume 100, January 2013, 51-69.

[i]       IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pp.

[ii]      IPCC, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[i]          IPCC, Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1132 pages.

[ii]      https://unfccc.int/files/essential_background/background_publications_htmlpdf/application/pdf/conveng.pdf

[iii]      IPCC, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pages.

[iv]      IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[v]       C. Buizert, B.A. Keisling, J.E. Box, F. He, A.E. Carlson, G. Sinclair, R.M. DeConto. 2018. Greenland-Wide Seasonal Temperatures During the Last Deglaciation. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1002/2017GL075601. Data: Greenland 22,000 Year Seasonal Temperature Reconstructions. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/23430.

[vi]      R.V. Uemura et al., 2012, “Ranges of moisture-source temperature estimated from Antarctic ice cores stable isotope records over glacial-interglacial cycles.” Climate of the Past, 8, 1109-1125. doi: 10.5194/cp-8-1109-2012. National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce. Dome Fuji 360KYr Stable Isotope Data and Temperature Reconstruction. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/13121. Downloaded 05/05/2018.

[vii]     J. V. Jouzel et al., 2007, “Orbital and Millennial Antarctic Climate Variability over the Past 800,000 Years.” Science, Volume 317, No. 5839, 793-797, 10 August 2007. National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce. EPICA Dome C – 800KYr Deuterium Data and Temperature Estimates. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/6080. Download data: Downloaded 08/02/2016.

[viii]     Lorius, C., J. Jouzel, C. Ritz, L. Merlivat, N.I. Barkov, Y.S. Korotkevitch, and V.M. Kotlyakov. 1985. A 150,000-year climatic record from Antarctic ice. Nature 316:591-596. Vostok – Deuterium Data and Temperature Reconstruction. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/2426.

[ix]         R. Bintanja and R.S.W. van de Wal, “North American ice-sheet dynamics and the onset of 100,000-year glacial cycles.” Nature, Volume 454, 869-872, 14 August 2008. doi:10.1038/nature07158. National Centers for Environmental Information, NESDIS, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce. Global 3Ma Temperature, Sea Level, and Ice Volume Reconstructions. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo-search/study/11933.

[x]          IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[xi]      Caini, S., Spreeuwenberg, P., Donker, G., Korevaar, J., Paget, J. Climatic factors and long-term trends of influenza-like illness rates in The Netherlands, 1970–2016. Environmental Research: 2018 Nov;167:307-313. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2018.07.035. Epub 2018 Jul 31.

[xii]      IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pp.

[xiii]     IPCC, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[xiv]     IPCC, Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1535 pages.

[xv]      Dr. Pieter Tans, NOAA/GML (www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/) and Dr. Ralph Keeling, Scripps Institution of Oceanography (scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/). ftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt

[xvi]     Ole Humlum et al., “The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature.” Global and Planetary Change. Volume 100, January 2013, 51-69.

Links to third party publications

The first scientific paper to expose the potential genetic engineering of the coronavirus (COVID19). This paper was WITHDRAWN after being posted at Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory (Click this link).      “Uncanny similarity of unique inserts in the 2019-nCoV spike protein to HIV-1 gp120 and Gag,” Click this link to a downloadable PDF 2020.01.30.927871.full

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s global warming lies contradict the 2019 data

MS Word version (navigable citation links): Scientific-Refutation-of-the-IPCCs-Key-Risk-Assessment_NZ_Final

PDF Slide deck summary: Scientific Refutation of the IPCC-AR5 Key Risk Assessment

Email recipients: See all To and Copied recipients below (not the BCC-ed).

Subject: Request for Investigation: the UN/IPCC’s corruption of climate science results in Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern lying to the public

Dear Prime Minister, Ministers and Associate Ministers of Education, Justice and Broadcasting/Communications/Media, the Attorney General, and Universities New Zealand Vice-Chancellors

Would you please investigate the corruption of normal-science in the climate science field (“corruption”) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (“IPCC”), and its impact on New Zealand academia and student miseducation, on government policies and media, and on future human safety? With Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern blatantly lying in contradiction to the 2019 climate data (“lie”), “We’re here because our world is warming. Undeniably it is warming,” it is clear this corruption has undermined government objectivity. Between early 2016 and mid-2019 global temperatures declined 0.47°C, telling us the world is “undeniably cooling.

The only climate change key-risk assessment that matters to this government is what the IPCC contrived under a United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Article-2 diktat in its Fifth Assessment Report (AR5, see Minister Shaw’s letter) linked only to theoretical anthropogenic global warming (AGW). This UN-diktat resulted in the erroneous dismissal of catastrophic natural climate change risks most relevant to the 21st century, just to eliminate any cooling contestation to the IPCC’s policy-directing Representative Concentration Pathway global warming scenarios. The Ministry for the Environment’s National Climate Change Risk Assessment (NCCRA, NCCRAF master templates) was also constrained by this UNFCCC Article-2 dictated risk-framework and predetermined the theoretical anthropogenic global warming risks upfront, before dressing it up with a Maori name (“Arotakenga Huringa Āhuarangi”) and then giving it to the assessment team.

The expert credentials of anyone promoting the IPCC’s Article 1 and 2 dictated sham-science and key-risk assessment are called into question if they failed to critically review all 4,931 pages of AR5 against the unfiltered climate data and science detailing our catastrophic natural climate change history back to the Holocene Climate Optimum, and thus failed to;

  1. Realize the major fabrication of global warming by UK and US government agencies (MetOffice, NOAA, NASA), evidenced by subtracting the post-1990 global climate index versions from the current versions. These fabricated global climate indices are those used by the IPCC and New Zealand’s government (MFE) to manipulate public opinion and justify policy.
  2. Realize that global atmospheric temperatures declined 0.47°C between early 2016 and mid-2019, while carbon dioxide (CO2) increased 2.8%. In AR5 the IPCC projected a 2016-2035 global mean surface temperature (GMST) increase of 0.3°C-0.7°C, meaning its policy-directing forecast is in error.
  3. Refute the IPCC’s radiative forcing theory based on its three-decade legacy for generating highly inaccurate climate forecasts (AR5)1986-1998; 84% under-forecasted the GMST. 1998-2012; 97% over-forecasted GMST, while 100% failed to predict the 15-year climate hiatus (no GMST increase) during this same period when CO2 increased by 8.0%. Points 2 and 3 clearly show the IPCC theory is unable to predict the GMST and its natural oscillations.
  4. Realize the modern era’s natural warming phase actually started in the depths of the Little Ice Age (early 1700s) and long before significant human greenhouse gas emissions. This fact of data is veiled from public view by the IPCC’s reliance on fabricated global climate indices that started between 1850 and 1880CE i.e., UNFCCC Article 1 defined climate change and AGW hijacked/rebranded natural climate change.
  5. Reflect that a major glaciation started after the Holocene Climate Optimum, which tracked a 40-50Watt/m2 decline in solar irradiance over eight millennia (i.e., 15 times today’s putative human radiative forcing impact) and a near 5°C decline in Arctic/Antarctic ice core temperatures by 1700CE (20%/36% of their Holocene interglacial rise, in absolute terms). This glaciation peaked during the Little Ice Age, and its melt initiation preceded significant human activity. Despite five-millennia of glaciation up to the mid-19th century, the IPCC erroneously dismissed with virtual certainty the prospect of glaciation for the next 1,000 years.
  6. Refute the IPCC’s non-peer reviewed mini-theory that delayed the next ice age by an unprecedented 30,000-50,000 years, and to falsify its incorrect assumption that the last ice age ended ‘about 10,000 years ago.’ Minister James Shaw as minister of statistics ignored a major statistical oversight that would normally falsify this ice age delay theory on three counts, never mind its conflict with existing climate data.
  7. Critically question the IPCC’s key-risk assumption that climate change risk lessons from the Little Ice Age and rapid climate change events since just before the Holocene Climate Optimum, associated with famine, war, and epidemic related catastrophes, civilization destructions, and species extinctions, were not applicable today.
  8. Realize that the IPCC erroneously dismissed or omitted catastrophic natural climate change risks most relevant to the 21st century, and which have been in plentiful evidence over the last eight millennia, i.e., global cooling cycles, glaciation, climate-forcing volcanism, grand solar minimum related extremes of precipitation (±), rapid climate change, and pandemic influenza.
  9. Reflect the alternative 21st-century climate forecasts from leading solar activity scientists expert in climate change, who warn of a return to a Little Ice Age-like climate during this current grand solar minimum period. Is this why cold, snow and precipitation records are being shattered all around the world in 2019?
  10. Realize that a detailed correlation analysis between CO2 and the GMST does not support their cause and effect relationship. This explains the IPCC’s high forecast inaccuracy and why a correlation analysis was not provided in any IPCC Working Group 1 report since 1990.
  11. Realize governments and corporates only have fifty years of ‘proven’ oil and gas reserves on their balance sheets, which is insufficient to generate the full 21st-century global warming that we are fear-mongered with, let alone delay an ice age. With reserves-to-production for oil and gas being less than 100% for most of the last 40 years, peak discovery is history. As such, all IPCC climate forecasts are technically invalidated.

On the basis of points 1-11 the IPCC’s radiative forcing (RF) theory, forecasts, and key-risk assessment would normally be refuted and replaced had the climate science field not been corrupted by UNFCCC Articles 1 and 2, IPCC processes and procedures, government-directed academic funding, and other factors.

In the event of an unmitigated 21st-century natural climate change catastrophe, blindly-following UN member state governments, the international scientific community, and the world’s media could be considered complicit in a UN/IPCC-led strategic genocide (“genocide”), consequent to this corruption. By implementing dubious UN global strategies into national policy and strategies this government places our nation and economy at risk (i.e., (1) IPCC/NCCRA; unmitigated catastrophic natural climate change risks. (2) WHO/MOH; enforcing our vulnerability to pandemic influenza during this high-risk grand solar minimum period by following an obsolete global vaccine strategy), while undermining our nation’s self-determinism and sovereignty.

Because the 1988 UNFCCC Article 1 and 2 dictated sham-science paradigm dominates New Zealand academia and tertiary miseducation the request to investigate this corruption is relevant to the minister of education and to the university vice chancellors. The high-possibility for 21st-century genocide resulting from United Nations global strategies benefiting from this corruption and being implemented by this government make this request a legal and human rights issue relevant to the minister of justice and the attorney general. The fact New Zealand’s media have failed to investigate this corruption, which sees our Prime Minister and minister of climate change publicly lie in contradiction to the climate data, makes this request relevant to the minister of broadcasting, communications and digital media – and the Prime Minister herself.

The following attached documents will show you exactly where to look in AR5’s 4,931 pages to see the IPCC’s incriminating disclosures and will help you understand the natural climate change risks, data, and science that was filtered out by the IPCC’s corruptive process.

  1. Scientific Refutation (MS Word): https://grandsolarminimum.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Scientific-Refutation-of-the-IPCCs-Key-Risk-Assessment_NZ_Final.docx
  2. Slide deck (PDF): https://grandsolarminimum.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Scientific-Refutation-of-the-IPCC-AR5-Key-Risk-Assessment.pdf

See my credentials below my signature.

Thank you.

Dr. Carlton Brown BVSc (Massey University) MBA (London Business School)

Advocate for Natural Climate Change Risk-Mitigation: Switching to Renewable Energy, and Implementing Centralized/Decentralized Sustainable Development and Prepandemic Influenza Immunization (Urgently)
FreeBook “Revolution: Ice age Re-entry”: Regular Amazon #1 (https://amzn.to/2PyQsxV), Google Play (http://bit.ly/2JFHz08), Kobo (http://bit.ly/2F3DdRQ), and Researchgate (http://bit.ly/2UnTBju)
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/carlton-brown-13b66232/
Website: https://grandsolarminimum.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/Iceagereentry
Copyright © 2014 Carlton B. Brown of https://grandsolarminimum.com. All Rights are Reserved. You are free to forward this information on to third parties and use this information under CC-BY-SA 4.0 rules.

My research credentials and link to pandemic influenza, climate change, and earth system risks: See my LinkedIn profile.

I am a New Zealand graduated veterinarian (Massey University, 1987), with an MBA (London Business School, 1997) and commercial background in human life sciences (UK; Pharma, Biotech, Investment Banking). As co-founding CEO/co-lead scientist of Immune Targeting Systems Ltd, I spent a decade directing the innovation and development of a universal pandemic influenza vaccine able to immunologically target all potential pandemic influenza-A strains in a genetically diverse human population. The company also assessed the broadly cross-reactive antibody responses (able to target emerging viral mutants) of all regulatory approved vaccine adjuvants in combination with influenza hemagglutinin antigens (i.e., seasonal and pandemic influenza vaccine antigens). As CEO I raised NZ$47million from European life-science investors and directed the vaccine technology innovation and development from inception to human proof-of-concept clinical studies, including breaking a global monopoly on the conduct of human influenza challenge studies. The company was sold in 2015.

That vaccine innovation project catalyzed my interest in influenza viral mutation epidemiology, and the role of Arctic migrating birds carrying pre-pandemic influenza-A viruses into cyclical extremes of electromagnetism, geomagnetism, and natural climate change during their summer migration. This resulted in the discovery that pandemic influenza outbreaks since 1500CE (the Little Ice Age) biased 11-year solar minimum/maximum periods, and grand solar minimum periods linked to Arctic cooling and glaciation. This discovery was facilitated by analyzing more than 100 data sets and many permutations of correlations between solar electromagnetism and magnetism, geomagnetism, climate change, glaciation, volcanism, and influenza pandemics, which made the lie about anthropogenic global warming and the error of our glacial cycle stage blatantly obvious.

Email recipients:

To: c.hipkins@ministers.govt.nz, j.salesa@ministers.govt.nz, k.davis@ministers.govt.nz, t.martin@ministers.govt.nz, david.parker@parliament.govt.nz, a.little@ministers.govt.nz, jan.logie@parliament.govt.nz, a.sio@ministers.govt.nz, kris.faafoi@parliament.govt.nz, s.mccutcheon@auckland.ac.nz, neilq@waikato.ac.nz, J.B.Thomas@massey.ac.nz, hayne@psy.otago.ac.nz, vice-chancellor@otago.ac.nz, vice-chancellor@vuw.ac.nz, cheryl.delarey@canterbury.ac.nz, Bruce.McKenzie@lincoln.ac.nz, VCOffice@lincoln.ac.nz, derek.mccormack@aut.ac.nz, jacinda.ardern@parliament.govt.nz,

CC-ed: winston.peters@parliament.govt.nz, james.shaw@parliament.govt.nz, eugenie.sage@parliament.govt.nz, nanaia.mahuta@parliament.govt.nz, Megan.Woods@parliament.govt.nz, Damien.O’Connor@parliament.govt.nz, phil.twyford@parliament.govt.nz, shane.jones@parliament.govt.nz, julieanne.genter@parliament.govt.nz, willow-jean.prime@parliament.govt.nz, david.clark@parliament.govt.nz, peeni.henare@parliament.govt.nz, ron.mark@parliament.govt.nz, Stuart.nash@parliament.govt.nz

Cambridge university council member abusive, “go and die in a ditch”

The original email was sent to 440 UK Academic Society and University Leadership recipients, including Jason Scott-Warren: Click here.

Email was titled: Prevent Genocide: You are requested to investigate the IPCC’s politicized corruption of normal-science, and its impact on UK academia, the MetOffice, and future human safety.

 

Cambridge University Council Member tells me to ‘go and die in a ditch” for the above email
From: Jason Scott-Warren <jes1003@cam.ac.uk>
Subject: Re: Prevent Genocide: You are requested to investigate the IPCC’s politicized corruption of normal-science, and its impact on UK academia, the MetOffice, and future human safety
Date: October 1, 2019 at 10:51:04 PM GMT+13
ie you have absolutely no credentials in this area. Please remove me from your email list and go and die in a ditch. 
Cambridge University Chancellor, Vice Chancellor, and pro-Vice Chancellors requested to investigate abuse

Dear Cambridge University Chancellor, Vice Chancellor, and pro-Vice Chancellors

I received an abusive email from one of your university council members last week, resulting from my request for Cambridge University’s leadership (and UK Academia) to investigate the IPCC’s corruption of normal-science (see email below).

Extracted from Dr. Jason Scott-Warren’s email: “ie you have absolutely no credentials in this area. Please remove me from your email list and go and die in a ditch.” (See attached email)

Whether I have credentials is irrelevant to the principles of normal-science. The only climate science and key-risk assessment that matters is what the IPCC promotes to our governments in academia’s borrowed name. So unless you have critically reviewed all 5,000 pages of the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report against the climate literature and data, please tell me who holds the right to judge credentials?

What credentials do you have if you failed to subtract earlier global climate index versions from the current versions to see global warming’s major fabrication by UK/USA government agencies; or you failed to realize this warming phase started long before significant human activity (early 1700s); or you ignored Thomas Kuhn and failed to refute the IPCC’s radiative-forcing theory based on its three-decade legacy of generating highly inaccurate global surface temperature forecasts; or you failed to heed Karl Popper and falsify the IPCC’s key-risk related theory that changed the ice age boundaries (start and end) when it was clearly in error, just to eliminate any contestation to its four Representative Concentration Pathway global warming predictions?

Furthermore, what does it say about academia’s credentials if it allowed UNFCCC Article 2 to dictate theoretical key-risks (linked to theoretical AGW), while it accepted the IPCC’s dismissal of catastrophic natural climate change risks, and which are in plentiful evidence since the Holocene Climate Optimum? With only five decades of proven oil and gas reserves, and peak discovery a fact of history, how will we produce the emissions required to prevent a natural cooling or catastrophic natural climate change risks for 1,000 to 30,000 years as promised? Under WHO’s obsolete global vaccine strategy for pandemic influenza we are left unnecessarily vulnerable during this high-risk grand solar minimum period, despite the lessons of 2009’s swine flu vaccine supply debacle (my credentials, see below). The WHO and UK government (and others) and UK academia linked to zoonosis/pandemic threats were notified in Q1-2018 numerous times (ignored), which led to the UK Cabinet Office checking me out on LinkedIn (again).

As a strategist looking from the outside, it could be argued that UN Agenda-21 has future population control by natural climate change catastrophe operating in stealth mode (thanks to bad IPCC/WHO strategies), which was partially enabled by academia turning a blind eye on normal-science as it whored for government funding. In the event of an unmitigated-dismissed natural climate change catastrophe (pandemic influenza included) academia’s credentials will be irreparably tarnished by its complicity in strategic genocide.

Will you please investigate the unprofessional conduct of your council member in the course of doing university business, and this corruption of normal science that jeopardizes global human safety?

Thank you.

Dr. Carlton Brown BVSc (Massey University) MBA (The London Business School)

 

Advocate for Natural Climate Change Risk-Mitigation: Switching to Renewable Energy, and Implementing Decentralized/Centralized Sustainable Development and Prepandemic Influenza Immunization (Urgently)
FreeBook “Revolution: Ice age Re-entry”: Amazon (https://amzn.to/2PyQsxV), Google Play (http://bit.ly/2JFHz08), Kobo (http://bit.ly/2F3DdRQ), and Researchgate PDF (http://bit.ly/2UnTBju
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/carlton-brown-13b66232/ 
Website: http://grandsolarminimum.com 
Twitter (for an activist discussion): https://twitter.com/Iceagereentry
Copyright © 2014 Carlton B. Brown of http://grandsolarminimum.com. All Rights are Reserved. You are free to forward this information on to third parties and use this information under CC-BY-SA 4.0 rules. 

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